Cardiff Business School People

Professor Aris A. Syntetos

Chair in Operational Research and Operations Management
The Panalpina Chaired Professor of Manufacturing and Logistics

Email:
SyntetosA@cardiff.ac.uk
Telephone:
+44 (0)29 208 76572
Location:
C21, Aberconway Building, Colum Drive, Cardiff, CF10 3EU

Aris is Research Professor of Operational Research and Operations Management at Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University, where he also holds the Panalpina Chair in Manufacturing and Logistics.

Previously (2003 – 2012) he was a Lecturer, Senior Lecturer, Reader and Professor at the Centre for Operational Research and Applied Statistics (CORAS), University of Salford. Since 2009 he is a Visiting Professor at KEDGE Business School in Bordeaux, France and in 2012 he held the Otto Monsted Guest Professorship at the Department of Operations, Copenhagen Business School, Denmark.

At Cardiff he has received awards for excellence in postgraduate teaching, the 2016 Cardiff University Outstanding Doctoral Supervisor Award (2016 Enriching Student Life Awards, ESLA) and the 2016 Cardiff University Business Innovation award for his work with Panalpina World Transport Ltd. (which also received a People’s choice award).

His research looks at how organisations can make more accurate predictions of future sales and how such predictions can help them reduce their immense investments in inventories. Such reductions contribute enormously towards financial and environmental sustainability. His name has been associated with some major developments in the area of inventory forecasting for spare parts (intermittent demand patterns). Since 2006 his research has been supported, primarily, by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC, UK) and Innovate UK, with funds totalling £2.5 Million.

Aris' research to date reflects collaboration with more than thirty universities and companies around the globe. Recent academic invited visits include the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University (The Netherlands), the National Institute of Applied Sciences (INSA) in Lyon (France), the Max Planck Institute for Mathematics in the Sciences in Leipzig (Germany) and the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin (Germany). He has advised many (both private and public) organisations on inventory forecasting related matters and several methods/algorithms co-developed by him are being utilised by major software corporations and have had an enormous economic impact (recently estimated to be of at least £1 billion worth of reduced inventories) and environmental benefit. 

He is Co-Editor in Chief of the IMA Journal of Management Mathematics (Oxford University Press), Assistant Editor of the Journal of the Operational Research Society (Palgrave) and the Supply Chain Editor of FORESIGHT, the practitioner oriented publication of the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF). He is Director of the IIF and also serves at the Executive Committee of the International Society for Inventories Research (ISIR), chairing the Inventory Forecasting Section of the Society. 

  • 2005 Postgraduate Certificate in Learning and Teaching in Higher Education, University of Salford, UK
  • 2001-2003 Military Service – Greek National
  • 2001 PhD in Operational Research, Brunel University, UK (academic scholarship and industrial sponsorship)
  • 1996 MSc in Quality Management, Stirling University, UK
  • 1995 Proficiency in Italian Language and Literature, Universita di Perugia, Italy
  • 1994 Postgraduate Diploma in Quality and Statistical Control, EU, Socrates Initiative (Athens, Brussels, Nice) (academic scholarship)
  • 1994 Proficiency in English Language and Literature, University of Cambridge, UK
  • 1993 BSc (4 years) in Business Administration, University of Piraeus (formerly the Graduate School of Industrial Studies), Athens, Greece (scholarship granted through National Public University entry examinations).

Teaching commitments

  • Aris’ time is currently devoted 100% to research (and knowledge transfer). He will not be teaching until September 2021.
  • In Cardiff Business School he has taught Logistics Modelling (BST333), Operations Analytics (BST332) and Operations Management (BST135) at the MSc programmes of the Logistics and Operations Management (LOM) Section.
  • He has contributed considerably to curriculum development (e.g. Operations Analytics module, BST332) and has received awards for excellence in postgraduate teaching.

Additional teaching activities

In addition to the UK, Aris has taught internationally in China, Colombia, Denmark, France, Greece, Italy and Latvia. All courses were in the areas of Operations Management, Operational Research (Management Science) and Applied Statistics.

Research interests

  • Statistical and judgmental supply chain forecasting
  • Inventory mathematical modelling and management
  • The interface between forecasting and inventory control
  • Supply chain modelling and management and information sharing
  • Developing knowledge in the above areas in the context of closed loop supply chains (circular economy) and in the presence of new manufacturing technologies (such as 3D Printing)
  • Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC): EP/D062942/1, 2006-08 (£192,950), 'On the Development of Theory-Informed Operationalised Definitions of Demand Patterns', First Grant Scheme. Principal/sole investigator
  • Technology Strategy Board (TSB): Knowledge Transfer Partnership - KTP 6202, 2006-08 (£166,839), Subject Area: ‘Inventory Management and IT’, Recommended for the national 'best partnership' award (Academic Supervisor)
  • EPSRC: EP/F012632/1, 2007-08 (£62,144), 'Forecasting and Inventory Management: Bridging the Gap', Collaboration for Success through People (CSP) scheme. Principal investigator (co-investigation by John Boylan)
  • EPSRC: EP/G006075/1, 2009-10 (£72,190), 'Commercialisation of an inventory management solution for intermittent demand items', Follow-On Fund. Principal/sole investigator
  • EPSRC: EP/G070369/1, 2009 (£20,000), 'Cognitive Mapping, System Dynamics and the Bullwhip Effect'. Principal investigator (co-investigation by Brian Dangerfield and John Boylan)
  • Technology Strategy Board (TSB): Knowledge Transfer Partnership - KTP ELCT01, 2010-2012 (£170,413), Inter-disciplinary project on the 'Development of Research Capacity in the Pest Management Industry' (Academic Supervisor)
  • EPSRC: EP/G003858/1, 2009-2012 (£266,595), 'Using the Grouping and Shrinkage Approaches to Forecasting Sub-Aggregate Level Seasonal Demand'. Principal investigator (co-investigation by Huijing Chen)
  • Innovate UK & EPSRC: Knowledge Transfer Partnership with Panalpina World Transport Ltd. - KTP 9208, 2013-2015 (£134,000), Subject area: 'Statistical Forecasting and Inventory Control' (Lead Academic and Academic Supervisor)
  • Innovate UK & EPSRC: Double Knowledge Transfer Partnership with Panalpina World Transport Ltd. - KTP 10165, 2016-2018 (£285,967), Subject area: 'Traditional vs. 3D Printing Enabled Inventory Control’ (Lead Academic)
  • Welsh Government & EPSRC: Knowledge Transfer Partnership with Qioptiq Ltd. - KTP 10171, 2016-2018 (£160,281), Subject area: 'Returns Forecasting in a Remanufacturing / Closed Loop Context’ (Lead Academic)
  • EPSRC: EP/P008925/1, 2017-2019 (£508,675), 'Resilient Remanufacturing Networks: Forecasting, Informatics and Holons'. Principal investigator (co-investigation by Mohamed Naim and Ying Liu)

Aris is currently leading following projects

Independent Research Centre

1 May 2016 to 30 April 2021

Sponsored by Panalpina World Transport Ltd

Led by Professor Aris Syntetos

Award type: Industry funding

Resilient Remanufacturing Networks: Forecasting, Informatics and Holons

1 October 2016 to 30 September 2018

Sponsored by Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)

Led by Professor Aris Syntetos with Professor Mohamed Naim, Dr Ying Liu (Cardiff School of Engineering)

Award type: Research

To develop and apply a novel inventory control decision support system for closed loop supply chains found in the remanufacturing environment

15 February 2016 to 14 February 2018

Sponsored by Technology Board, Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) and Qioptiq Ltd

Led by Professor Aris Syntetos

Award type: Knowledge Transfer Partnership

To combine advanced supply chain and 3D Printing solutions

13 January 2016 to 31 January 2018

Sponsored by Technology Board, Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) and Panalpina World Transport Ltd

Led by Professor Aris Syntetos

Award type: Knowledge Transfer Partnership

Aris has led the following projects

Develop a demand-driven inventory-forecasting model to facilitate inventory reductions

30 June 2013 to 29 June 2015

Sponsored by Technology Strategy Board, Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) and Panalpina World Transport Ltd

Led by Professor Aris Syntetos

Award type: Knowledge Transfer Partnership

PhD supervision research interests

  • Aris has received the 2016 Cardiff University Outstanding Doctoral Supervisor Award (2016 Enriching Student Life Awards, ESLA)
  • Unfortunately, at present, he cannot accept any new PhD students
  • He is currently supervising the following researchers
  • Nicole Ayiomamitou, MPhil in Operational Research (Forecasting and Inventory Control in the service industry), 2014 – 2016 (previously Research Associate in a Knowledge Transfer Partnership (KTP) with Panalpina World Transport Ltd.)
  • Adel Alamri, PhD in Operational Research (Inventory Control), 2013 – 2017
  • Violina Sarma, PhD in Operations Management (Judgmental Forecasting), 2014 – 2018
  • Athanasios Goltsos, MPhil in Operational Research (Forecasting and Inventory Control in a remanufacturing context), 2016 – 2018 (currently Research Associate in a Knowledge Transfer Partnership (KTP) with Qioptiq Ltd.)
  • Fevos Charalampidis, MPhil in Operations Management (Forecasting and Inventory Control for new manufacturing technologies), 2016 – 2018 (currently Research Associate in a Knowledge Transfer Partnership (KTP) with Panalpina World Transport Ltd.)
  • Rishi Pawar, (currently Research Associate in a Knowledge Transfer Partnership (KTP) with Panalpina World Transport Ltd.). External contribution to Cardiff School of Engineering.

School launches new research centre with Panalpina

Thursday 13 October 2016

Cardiff Business School and Panalpina - one of the world’s leading providers of supply chain solutions - have strengthened their partnership with the launch of a new Logistics Manufacturing Research Centre.

The Centre, based at Cardiff Business School, has been partially funded by Panalpina.

School awarded £500k research funding

Thursday 1 September 2016

A joint Cardiff Business School and Cardiff School of Engineering research proposal has been awarded a £500,000 grant.

The funding is being provided by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC).

Business Innovation Award

Wednesday 1 June 2016

A project which helps businesses accurately forecast demand for their products has picked up a prize for Business Innovation at Cardiff University’s Innovation and Impact Awards 2016.

Editorial work

  • Co-Editor In Chief (since 2009) – IMA Journal of Management Mathematics – IMA JMM (Oxford University Press)
  • Associate Editor (2007 – 2009) – IMA Journal of Management Mathematics – IMA JMM (Oxford University Press)
  • Associate Editor (since 2006) – Journal of the Operational Research Society – JORS (Palgrave MacMillan)
  • Guest co-editorship (with John E. Boylan): IMA JMM. Special issue on ‘Forecasting for Inventory Management’, issue 2, 2008
  • Guest co-editorship (with John E. Boylan): JORS. Special issue on ‘Supply Chain Forecasting and Planning’, issue 3, 2011
  • Guest co-editorship (with John E. Boylan): OMEGA. Special issue on ‘Forecasting in Management Science’, issue 6, 2012
  • Co-Editor (with Dobrila Petrovic) of the Keynotes and Short Papers Handbook, The 53rd Conference of the UK Operational Research Society (OR 53) ISBN 0- 903440-49-0
  • Guest co-editorship (with Dobrila Petrovic): OR INSIGHT. Special issue on Keynote papers from the OR 53, issue 3, 2012
  • Guest co-editorship (with Dobrila Petrovic): IMA JMM. Special issue on Keynote papers from the OR 53, issue 4, 2013

Memberships

  • Institute of Mathematics and its Applications (IMA, Fellow)
  • International Institute of Forecasters (IIF, Board of Directors, Elected Director)
  • International Society for Inventory Research (ISIR, Executive Committee, Elected Chair: Inventory Forecasting Section)
  • Operational Research Society (ORS)
  • Production & Operations Management Society (POMS)
  • Institute for Operations Research & Management Sciences (INFORMS)